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State Water Project supplies could fall up to 23% within 20 years due to climate change

By Ian James | Staff Writer | July 31, 2024

Climate change threatens to dramatically shrink the amount of water California can deliver over the next 20 years and could reduce supplies available from the State Water Project by up to 23%, according to new projections released Wednesday by Gov. Gavin Newsom’s administration.

The analysis by the California Department of Water Resources examined a range of climate change scenarios and projected that by 2043 the average amount of water transported through the massive network of reservoirs and canals to more than half the state’s population could decline between 13% and 23%.

Such a loss in the State Water Project’s water delivery capacity, if not addressed, could lead to major shortages for much of the state, including Southern California.

“The SWP was designed for the climate of the 20th century,” said John Yarbrough, the project’s deputy director. “It’s going to need continued investment to get it in a place where it’s really able to function with the hydrology of the future.”

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